The Conquest Arithmetic

The fascists .. the Banderites .. wanted to attack Russia and so on and so forth. – that and and more like that and only that on the Russian media. Something different is prosecuted.

And the most important thing is missing, but it is simple and old, like our world. To understand it, you just need to take a close look on some numbers and facts about Ukraine, before Russia treacherously attacked it without declaring war, first in 2014, and then more brutally and enormously on February 24, 2022.

Ukraine is one of the largest countries in Europe in terms of territory and fertile lands. In 2021, Ukraine exported agricultural products worth about $27 billion to Asia, Europe, Africa and the CIS, while Russian exports amounted to about $30 billion. In the case of the seizure of Ukraine, Russia immediately would become one of the top ten largest food exporters with a real opportunity to supplement its oil and gas blackmail opportunities with the food ones while a significant increase in the share in the food markets of China and Europe would be particularly vital.

Ukraine conquest is an opportunity to add 157 billion kWh and four operating nuclear power plants with 15 reactors, the installed gross capacity of which is 13,835 MW, while Russia itself has 11 nuclear power plants with a total capacity of 29,168 MW, which is slightly more than 2 times for an incomparably huge territory.
Ukraine has mechanical engineering, steel production, mines with coke and coal for blast furnaces, mines with rare earth metals, including titanium, zirconium, lithium, uranium, shale and offshore gas fields.

Significant value of Ukraine is the possession of the vast range of technologies, especially military and dual-use, a significant part of which has inherited from USSR era. They have been continued and developed by Ukrainian scientists and engineers, who have graduated from Ukrainian and foreign universities after USSR collapse. Many of those technologies are very much needed by Russia. For example, the “Pivdenmash” production of engines for space rockets, or “Motor Sich” motors for helicopters and airplanes produced by, which are used in the Russian armed forces, as well as drones.
Despite all the efforts, Russia has not been able to establish its own production of these important products for more than 30 years. And this is only a small part lying on the surface.
Russia needs them for its military-industrial and space complexes. They are needed to launch combat satellites, equip combat helicopters and ballistic missiles, and, very importantly, at “domestic” prices that allows the production of hundreds of pieces, not dozens. And they should be produced by domesticated Ukrainians managed by Russians for the Russian army and on an export at the factories that, in Russians opinion, belong to Russia as the whole Ukraine.
And by the way, Ukrainian anti-tank mobile missile “Stugna”, which has proven itself in the most difficult combat conditions, is worth a lot too.

Conquest of Ukraine means of the establishing of full control over the oil and gas transportation systems passing through its territory, with the “internal” transportation prices for Russian oil and gas companies increasing not only their net profit but their liquidity by times, plus to that the additional billions for the transportation of hydrocarbons from the countries of Central Asia. In fact, this is the monopolization of the entire oil and the gas transportation corridor going to Europe from Asia, which gives very powerful political and economical levers on Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and, through Chevron and others, which have productions there, on the European Union and the United States economies.

Reducing the costs by reducing their transportation and labor components allow to have, obviously, a higher margin and, therefore, a more flexible pricing policy. Thus, Gazprom, Rosneft, Surgutneftegaz and others gain the competitive advantages over companies from the United States, Norway and Great Britain offering the same products on the European markets. Real prospects are that not only Hungary, but also more powerful European countries will begin to understand Russia’s “concerns” better and better and mostly important to seek resolving them, while expressing their “deep concerns to those who offend Russia” on one hand while increasing economical collaboration on another, as it has happened after Russia’s seizure of the Ukrainian Crimea in 2014.

And there are a lot of “offenders” especially in Eastern Europe each of which at some point in their history contributing to the Russian Empire and then to the USSR block .

Ukraine had about 40 million population of a fairly well-educated and hard-working people.
It is the most important gain – tens of millions of people whose history has been deeply intertwined with Russian history for many centuries; whose way of life is close to a significant part of the population of Russia; whose significant part of the political and economical elite have been integrated into the Russian elite over the centuries. Conquering and returning them back to the Moscow’s control is the most important task that the Russian political, business and clerical  establishment has begun to solve by their immoral and bloody attack.
At the end of the fourth year of the war, it became clear that in order to achieve its goals, the Russian establishment decided to sacrifice hundreds of thousands of Russian residents, whose lives it probably considers not very important and even superfluous for their dominance and first of all people with criminal records, socially low groups, Russian supremacists , national minorities.

More than one million people from the existing Russian regions have already been killed and crippled, but a couple of million living in the occupied territories have been received and it looks like nobody within russian-fascist establishment feel sorry for these scattered in the fields.

It was this anticipation of the biggest “hijack of life” that united and rallied all strata of Russian society from a soldier to a general, from a municipal deputy to a deputy of the State Duma, from a village priest to Patriarch Gundyaev, from a petty official of the local administration to president putin, from an individual entrepreneur to a billionaire Rotenberg.  And as long as they have at least some hope of getting their “share” – some in the form of a stolen washing machine or a combine harvester, some in the form of hectares of fertile land, some in the form of factories, some in the form of millions of subordinate people, – they will continue to sacrifice their most vulnerable  people, which they are calling the “heroes fighting for true Orthodox values” on TV, but disposing as rubbish on the fields of Ukraine until it comes to these “heroes” that they can get much more and more safely in their own lands, as happened once upon a time in 1917. But until it reaches their mind, they will continue to die in Ukraine, fulfilling the last of their missions – fertilizing the lands that their elite is so much dreaming about.